1. Global Supply-Demand Dynamics: Biodiesel Regulations Shape Market Volatility
In 2023, the global glycerol market remains heavily influenced by biodiesel policies and palm oil supply chains. As a key byproduct of biodiesel production, glycerol supply is closely tied to crude oil prices and vegetable oil costs (e.g., palm oil, soybean oil).
Southeast Asia Capacity Expansion: Major palm oil producers like Indonesia and Malaysia are accelerating biodiesel production, driving crude glycerol supply growth by 12% YoY (Statista). However, the EU’s Renewable Energy Directive (RED III), which restricts palm oil-based biodiesel imports, has redirected Southeast Asian crude glycerol exports to deep-processing markets such as India and China.
European Market Tightening: The EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) and energy challenges have pushed regional refiners like BASF (Germany) and AkzoNobel (Netherlands) to prioritize food/pharmaceutical-grade glycerol, tightening industrial-grade supply and raising prices by 8-10% YoY.